Magmatism and geodynamics of the Balkan Peninsula from Mesozoic to present day: significance for the formation of metallic and non-metallic mineral deposits

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info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/MESTD/Basic Research (BR or ON)/176016/RS//

Magmatism and geodynamics of the Balkan Peninsula from Mesozoic to present day: significance for the formation of metallic and non-metallic mineral deposits (en)
Магматизам и геодинамика Балканског полуострва од мезозоика до данас: значај за образовање металичних и неметаличних рудних лежишта (sr)
Magmatizam i geodinamika Balkanskog poluostrva od mezozoika do danas: značaj za obrazovanje metaličnih i nemetaličnih rudnih ležišta (sr_RS)
Authors

Publications

EFFECT of colored noise on the generation of seismic fault MOVEMENT: Analogy with spring-block model DYNAMICS

Kostić, Srđan; Vasović, Nebojša; Todorović, Kristina; Franović, Igor

(Elsevier, 2020)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Kostić, Srđan
AU  - Vasović, Nebojša
AU  - Todorović, Kristina
AU  - Franović, Igor
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://farfar.pharmacy.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/3582
AB  - In present paper authors examined the effect of colored noise on the onset of seismic fault motion. For this purpose, they analyze the dynamics of spring-block model, with 10 all-to all coupled blocks. This spring-block model is considered as a collection of fault patches (with the increased rock friction), which are separated by the material bridges (more petrified parts of the fault). In the first phase of research, authors confirm the presence of autocorrelation in the background of seismic noise, using the measurement of real fault movement, and the recorded ground shaking before and after an earthquake. In the second stage of the research, authors firstly develop a mean-field model, which accurately enough describes the dynamics of a starting block model, with the introduced delayed interaction among the blocks, while colored noise is assumed to be generated by Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The results of the analysis indicate the existence of three different dynamical regimes, which correspond to three regimes of fault motion: steady stationary state, aseismic creep and seismic fault motion. The effect of colored noise lies in the possibility of generating the seismic fault motion even for small values of correlation time. Moreover, it is shown that the tight connection between the blocks, i.e. fault patches prevent the occurrence of seismic fault motion.
PB  - Elsevier
T2  - Chaos, Solitons and Fractals
T1  - EFFECT of colored noise on the generation of seismic fault MOVEMENT: Analogy with spring-block model DYNAMICS
VL  - 135
DO  - 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109726
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Kostić, Srđan and Vasović, Nebojša and Todorović, Kristina and Franović, Igor",
year = "2020",
abstract = "In present paper authors examined the effect of colored noise on the onset of seismic fault motion. For this purpose, they analyze the dynamics of spring-block model, with 10 all-to all coupled blocks. This spring-block model is considered as a collection of fault patches (with the increased rock friction), which are separated by the material bridges (more petrified parts of the fault). In the first phase of research, authors confirm the presence of autocorrelation in the background of seismic noise, using the measurement of real fault movement, and the recorded ground shaking before and after an earthquake. In the second stage of the research, authors firstly develop a mean-field model, which accurately enough describes the dynamics of a starting block model, with the introduced delayed interaction among the blocks, while colored noise is assumed to be generated by Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The results of the analysis indicate the existence of three different dynamical regimes, which correspond to three regimes of fault motion: steady stationary state, aseismic creep and seismic fault motion. The effect of colored noise lies in the possibility of generating the seismic fault motion even for small values of correlation time. Moreover, it is shown that the tight connection between the blocks, i.e. fault patches prevent the occurrence of seismic fault motion.",
publisher = "Elsevier",
journal = "Chaos, Solitons and Fractals",
title = "EFFECT of colored noise on the generation of seismic fault MOVEMENT: Analogy with spring-block model DYNAMICS",
volume = "135",
doi = "10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109726"
}
Kostić, S., Vasović, N., Todorović, K.,& Franović, I.. (2020). EFFECT of colored noise on the generation of seismic fault MOVEMENT: Analogy with spring-block model DYNAMICS. in Chaos, Solitons and Fractals
Elsevier., 135.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109726
Kostić S, Vasović N, Todorović K, Franović I. EFFECT of colored noise on the generation of seismic fault MOVEMENT: Analogy with spring-block model DYNAMICS. in Chaos, Solitons and Fractals. 2020;135.
doi:10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109726 .
Kostić, Srđan, Vasović, Nebojša, Todorović, Kristina, Franović, Igor, "EFFECT of colored noise on the generation of seismic fault MOVEMENT: Analogy with spring-block model DYNAMICS" in Chaos, Solitons and Fractals, 135 (2020),
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109726 . .
4
1
5

Future environmental challenges of the urban protected area Great War Island (Belgrade, Serbia) based on valuation of the pollution status and ecosystem services

Kašanin-Grubin, Milica; Štrbac, Snežana; Antonijević, Snežana; Đogo-Mračević, Svetlana; Ranđelović, Dragana; Orlić, Jovana; Šajnović, Aleksandra

(Elsevier, 2019)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Kašanin-Grubin, Milica
AU  - Štrbac, Snežana
AU  - Antonijević, Snežana
AU  - Đogo-Mračević, Svetlana
AU  - Ranđelović, Dragana
AU  - Orlić, Jovana
AU  - Šajnović, Aleksandra
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://farfar.pharmacy.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/3449
AB  - The Great War Island (GWI) is an area of importance for the protection of the environment, cultural and historical heritage of Belgrade, Serbia. According to the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) this area belongs to the IV category - Habitats and Other Regulated Areas. The main objectives of this paper are to evaluate the potential impacts of pollution on ecosystem services of the Great War Island and to explore different scenarios for future urban development of the Great War Island that will have implication for human well-being. The aims of this paper are set up based on the evaluation of ecosystem services of the Great War Island and assessment of the pollution status of the Great War Island. In order to evaluate pollution status of the GWI inorganic and organic composition of sediments were examined. Additionally, the content of microelements was determined in the leaves of the Salix alba L. Pollution indices indicate that all investigated sampling sites are polluted and correspond to high and very high degree of contamination. Cd and Cu show high to extremely high degree of contamination while Sb has extremely high degree of contamination. Content of As, Co, Cu, Ni and Zn in leaves of Salix alba L. is in sufficient to normal range, while content of Cd is between the sufficient and excessive values generalized for various species. Typical oil distributions of terpanes and steranes and values of the corresponding maturity parameters clearly indicated that the sediments of the GWI, in addition to native organic matter, contained oil pollutants of anthropogenic origin. GWI provides provisioning, regulating, supporting and cultural ecosystem services. In relation to ecosystem services two possible scenarios can be predicted: first - losing the status of a protected area due to urbanization; and the second - increasing the degree of protection by admission into international protection lists.
PB  - Elsevier
T2  - Journal of Environmental Management
T1  - Future environmental challenges of the urban protected area Great War Island (Belgrade, Serbia) based on valuation of the pollution status and ecosystem services
VL  - 251
SP  - 1
EP  - 12
DO  - 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109574
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Kašanin-Grubin, Milica and Štrbac, Snežana and Antonijević, Snežana and Đogo-Mračević, Svetlana and Ranđelović, Dragana and Orlić, Jovana and Šajnović, Aleksandra",
year = "2019",
abstract = "The Great War Island (GWI) is an area of importance for the protection of the environment, cultural and historical heritage of Belgrade, Serbia. According to the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) this area belongs to the IV category - Habitats and Other Regulated Areas. The main objectives of this paper are to evaluate the potential impacts of pollution on ecosystem services of the Great War Island and to explore different scenarios for future urban development of the Great War Island that will have implication for human well-being. The aims of this paper are set up based on the evaluation of ecosystem services of the Great War Island and assessment of the pollution status of the Great War Island. In order to evaluate pollution status of the GWI inorganic and organic composition of sediments were examined. Additionally, the content of microelements was determined in the leaves of the Salix alba L. Pollution indices indicate that all investigated sampling sites are polluted and correspond to high and very high degree of contamination. Cd and Cu show high to extremely high degree of contamination while Sb has extremely high degree of contamination. Content of As, Co, Cu, Ni and Zn in leaves of Salix alba L. is in sufficient to normal range, while content of Cd is between the sufficient and excessive values generalized for various species. Typical oil distributions of terpanes and steranes and values of the corresponding maturity parameters clearly indicated that the sediments of the GWI, in addition to native organic matter, contained oil pollutants of anthropogenic origin. GWI provides provisioning, regulating, supporting and cultural ecosystem services. In relation to ecosystem services two possible scenarios can be predicted: first - losing the status of a protected area due to urbanization; and the second - increasing the degree of protection by admission into international protection lists.",
publisher = "Elsevier",
journal = "Journal of Environmental Management",
title = "Future environmental challenges of the urban protected area Great War Island (Belgrade, Serbia) based on valuation of the pollution status and ecosystem services",
volume = "251",
pages = "1-12",
doi = "10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109574"
}
Kašanin-Grubin, M., Štrbac, S., Antonijević, S., Đogo-Mračević, S., Ranđelović, D., Orlić, J.,& Šajnović, A.. (2019). Future environmental challenges of the urban protected area Great War Island (Belgrade, Serbia) based on valuation of the pollution status and ecosystem services. in Journal of Environmental Management
Elsevier., 251, 1-12.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109574
Kašanin-Grubin M, Štrbac S, Antonijević S, Đogo-Mračević S, Ranđelović D, Orlić J, Šajnović A. Future environmental challenges of the urban protected area Great War Island (Belgrade, Serbia) based on valuation of the pollution status and ecosystem services. in Journal of Environmental Management. 2019;251:1-12.
doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109574 .
Kašanin-Grubin, Milica, Štrbac, Snežana, Antonijević, Snežana, Đogo-Mračević, Svetlana, Ranđelović, Dragana, Orlić, Jovana, Šajnović, Aleksandra, "Future environmental challenges of the urban protected area Great War Island (Belgrade, Serbia) based on valuation of the pollution status and ecosystem services" in Journal of Environmental Management, 251 (2019):1-12,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109574 . .
13
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11

Nonlinear dynamics behind the seismic cycle: One-dimensional phenomenological modeling

Kostić, Srdan; Vasović, Nebojša; Todorović, Kristina; Franović, Igor

(Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd, Oxford, 2018)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Kostić, Srdan
AU  - Vasović, Nebojša
AU  - Todorović, Kristina
AU  - Franović, Igor
PY  - 2018
UR  - https://farfar.pharmacy.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/3204
AB  - In present paper, authors examine the dynamics of a spring-slider model, considered as a phenomenological setup of a geological fault motion. Research is based on an assumption of delayed interaction between the two blocks, which is an idea that dates back to original Burridge-Knopoff model. In contrast to this first model, group of blocks on each side of transmission zone (with delayed interaction) is replaced by a single block. Results obtained indicate predominant impact of the introduced time delay, whose decrease leads to transition from steady state or aseismic creep to seismic regime, where each part of the seismic cycle (co-seismic, post-seismic and inter-seismic) could be recognized. In particular, for coupling strength of order 10 2 observed system exhibit inverse Andronov-Hopf bifurcation for very small value of time delay, tau approximate to 0.01, when long-period (T = 12) and high-amplitude oscillations occur. Further increase of time delay, of order 10(-1), induces an occurrence of a direct Andronov-Hopf bifurcation, with short-period (T = 0.5) oscillations of approximately ten times smaller amplitude. This reduction in time delay could be the consequence of the increase of temperature due to frictional heating, or due to decrease of pressure which follows the sudden movement along the fault. Analysis is conducted for the parameter values consistent with previous laboratory findings and geological observations relevant from the seismological viewpoint.
PB  - Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd, Oxford
T2  - Chaos Solitons & Fractals
T1  - Nonlinear dynamics behind the seismic cycle: One-dimensional phenomenological modeling
VL  - 106
SP  - 310
EP  - 316
DO  - 10.1016/j.chaos.2017.11.037
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Kostić, Srdan and Vasović, Nebojša and Todorović, Kristina and Franović, Igor",
year = "2018",
abstract = "In present paper, authors examine the dynamics of a spring-slider model, considered as a phenomenological setup of a geological fault motion. Research is based on an assumption of delayed interaction between the two blocks, which is an idea that dates back to original Burridge-Knopoff model. In contrast to this first model, group of blocks on each side of transmission zone (with delayed interaction) is replaced by a single block. Results obtained indicate predominant impact of the introduced time delay, whose decrease leads to transition from steady state or aseismic creep to seismic regime, where each part of the seismic cycle (co-seismic, post-seismic and inter-seismic) could be recognized. In particular, for coupling strength of order 10 2 observed system exhibit inverse Andronov-Hopf bifurcation for very small value of time delay, tau approximate to 0.01, when long-period (T = 12) and high-amplitude oscillations occur. Further increase of time delay, of order 10(-1), induces an occurrence of a direct Andronov-Hopf bifurcation, with short-period (T = 0.5) oscillations of approximately ten times smaller amplitude. This reduction in time delay could be the consequence of the increase of temperature due to frictional heating, or due to decrease of pressure which follows the sudden movement along the fault. Analysis is conducted for the parameter values consistent with previous laboratory findings and geological observations relevant from the seismological viewpoint.",
publisher = "Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd, Oxford",
journal = "Chaos Solitons & Fractals",
title = "Nonlinear dynamics behind the seismic cycle: One-dimensional phenomenological modeling",
volume = "106",
pages = "310-316",
doi = "10.1016/j.chaos.2017.11.037"
}
Kostić, S., Vasović, N., Todorović, K.,& Franović, I.. (2018). Nonlinear dynamics behind the seismic cycle: One-dimensional phenomenological modeling. in Chaos Solitons & Fractals
Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd, Oxford., 106, 310-316.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2017.11.037
Kostić S, Vasović N, Todorović K, Franović I. Nonlinear dynamics behind the seismic cycle: One-dimensional phenomenological modeling. in Chaos Solitons & Fractals. 2018;106:310-316.
doi:10.1016/j.chaos.2017.11.037 .
Kostić, Srdan, Vasović, Nebojša, Todorović, Kristina, Franović, Igor, "Nonlinear dynamics behind the seismic cycle: One-dimensional phenomenological modeling" in Chaos Solitons & Fractals, 106 (2018):310-316,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2017.11.037 . .
3
1

Dynamics of fault motion in a stochastic spring-slider model with varying neighboring interactions and time-delayed coupling

Kostić, Srdan; Vasović, Nebojša; Franović, Igor; Todorović, Kristina; Klinshov, Vladimir; Nekorkin, Vladimir

(Springer, Dordrecht, 2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Kostić, Srdan
AU  - Vasović, Nebojša
AU  - Franović, Igor
AU  - Todorović, Kristina
AU  - Klinshov, Vladimir
AU  - Nekorkin, Vladimir
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://farfar.pharmacy.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2951
AB  - We examine dynamics of a fault motion by analyzing behavior of a spring-slider model composed of 100 blocks where each block is coupled to a varying number of 2K neighboring units (1 2K N, ). Dynamics of such model is studied under the effect of delayed interaction, variable coupling strength and random seismic noise. The qualitative analysis of stability and bifurcations is carried out by deriving an approximate deterministic mean-field model, which is demonstrated to accurately capture the dynamics of the original stochastic system. The primary effect concerns the direct supercritical Andronov-Hopf bifurcation, which underlies transition from equilibrium state to periodic oscillations under the variation of coupling delay. Nevertheless, the impact of delayed interactions is shown to depend on the coupling strength and the friction force. In particular, for loosely coupled blocks and low values of friction, observed system does not exhibit any bifurcation, regardless of the assumed noise amplitude in the expected range of values. It is also suggested that a group of blocks with the largest displacements, which exhibit nearly regular periodic oscillations analogous to coseismic motion for system parameters just above the bifurcation curve, can be treated as a representative of an earthquake hypocenter. In this case, the distribution of event magnitudes, defined as a natural logarithm of a sum of squared displacements, is found to correspond well to periodic (characteristic) earthquake model.
PB  - Springer, Dordrecht
T2  - Nonlinear Dynamics
T1  - Dynamics of fault motion in a stochastic spring-slider model with varying neighboring interactions and time-delayed coupling
VL  - 87
IS  - 4
SP  - 2563
EP  - 2575
DO  - 10.1007/s11071-016-3211-5
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Kostić, Srdan and Vasović, Nebojša and Franović, Igor and Todorović, Kristina and Klinshov, Vladimir and Nekorkin, Vladimir",
year = "2017",
abstract = "We examine dynamics of a fault motion by analyzing behavior of a spring-slider model composed of 100 blocks where each block is coupled to a varying number of 2K neighboring units (1 2K N, ). Dynamics of such model is studied under the effect of delayed interaction, variable coupling strength and random seismic noise. The qualitative analysis of stability and bifurcations is carried out by deriving an approximate deterministic mean-field model, which is demonstrated to accurately capture the dynamics of the original stochastic system. The primary effect concerns the direct supercritical Andronov-Hopf bifurcation, which underlies transition from equilibrium state to periodic oscillations under the variation of coupling delay. Nevertheless, the impact of delayed interactions is shown to depend on the coupling strength and the friction force. In particular, for loosely coupled blocks and low values of friction, observed system does not exhibit any bifurcation, regardless of the assumed noise amplitude in the expected range of values. It is also suggested that a group of blocks with the largest displacements, which exhibit nearly regular periodic oscillations analogous to coseismic motion for system parameters just above the bifurcation curve, can be treated as a representative of an earthquake hypocenter. In this case, the distribution of event magnitudes, defined as a natural logarithm of a sum of squared displacements, is found to correspond well to periodic (characteristic) earthquake model.",
publisher = "Springer, Dordrecht",
journal = "Nonlinear Dynamics",
title = "Dynamics of fault motion in a stochastic spring-slider model with varying neighboring interactions and time-delayed coupling",
volume = "87",
number = "4",
pages = "2563-2575",
doi = "10.1007/s11071-016-3211-5"
}
Kostić, S., Vasović, N., Franović, I., Todorović, K., Klinshov, V.,& Nekorkin, V.. (2017). Dynamics of fault motion in a stochastic spring-slider model with varying neighboring interactions and time-delayed coupling. in Nonlinear Dynamics
Springer, Dordrecht., 87(4), 2563-2575.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11071-016-3211-5
Kostić S, Vasović N, Franović I, Todorović K, Klinshov V, Nekorkin V. Dynamics of fault motion in a stochastic spring-slider model with varying neighboring interactions and time-delayed coupling. in Nonlinear Dynamics. 2017;87(4):2563-2575.
doi:10.1007/s11071-016-3211-5 .
Kostić, Srdan, Vasović, Nebojša, Franović, Igor, Todorović, Kristina, Klinshov, Vladimir, Nekorkin, Vladimir, "Dynamics of fault motion in a stochastic spring-slider model with varying neighboring interactions and time-delayed coupling" in Nonlinear Dynamics, 87, no. 4 (2017):2563-2575,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11071-016-3211-5 . .
4
2
5

Application of artificial neural networks for slope stability analysis in geotechnical practice

Kostić, Srđan; Vasović, Nebojša; Todorović, Kristina; Samčović, Andreja

(IEEE, New York, 2016)

TY  - CONF
AU  - Kostić, Srđan
AU  - Vasović, Nebojša
AU  - Todorović, Kristina
AU  - Samčović, Andreja
PY  - 2016
UR  - https://farfar.pharmacy.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2672
AB  - In present paper, authors develop a model for estimation of earth slope stability based on the artificial neural networks. For this purpose, authors engage multi-layer feed-forward network with Levenberg-Marquardt learning algorithm and 14 hidden nodes, using existing experimental data, and the results of traditional limit equilibrium analyzes of 57 different cases according to the predefined experimental plan. The results obtained indicate high level of statistical reliability (R=0.95 and MSE=0.0035 for testing set of scaled values) and similar estimation accuracy as the existing mathematical expression for calculation of slope safety factor.
PB  - IEEE, New York
C3  - 2016 13th Symposium on Neural Networks and Applications, NEUREL 2016
T1  - Application of artificial neural networks for slope stability analysis in geotechnical practice
SP  - 89
EP  - 94
DO  - 10.1109/NEUREL.2016.7800125
ER  - 
@conference{
author = "Kostić, Srđan and Vasović, Nebojša and Todorović, Kristina and Samčović, Andreja",
year = "2016",
abstract = "In present paper, authors develop a model for estimation of earth slope stability based on the artificial neural networks. For this purpose, authors engage multi-layer feed-forward network with Levenberg-Marquardt learning algorithm and 14 hidden nodes, using existing experimental data, and the results of traditional limit equilibrium analyzes of 57 different cases according to the predefined experimental plan. The results obtained indicate high level of statistical reliability (R=0.95 and MSE=0.0035 for testing set of scaled values) and similar estimation accuracy as the existing mathematical expression for calculation of slope safety factor.",
publisher = "IEEE, New York",
journal = "2016 13th Symposium on Neural Networks and Applications, NEUREL 2016",
title = "Application of artificial neural networks for slope stability analysis in geotechnical practice",
pages = "89-94",
doi = "10.1109/NEUREL.2016.7800125"
}
Kostić, S., Vasović, N., Todorović, K.,& Samčović, A.. (2016). Application of artificial neural networks for slope stability analysis in geotechnical practice. in 2016 13th Symposium on Neural Networks and Applications, NEUREL 2016
IEEE, New York., 89-94.
https://doi.org/10.1109/NEUREL.2016.7800125
Kostić S, Vasović N, Todorović K, Samčović A. Application of artificial neural networks for slope stability analysis in geotechnical practice. in 2016 13th Symposium on Neural Networks and Applications, NEUREL 2016. 2016;:89-94.
doi:10.1109/NEUREL.2016.7800125 .
Kostić, Srđan, Vasović, Nebojša, Todorović, Kristina, Samčović, Andreja, "Application of artificial neural networks for slope stability analysis in geotechnical practice" in 2016 13th Symposium on Neural Networks and Applications, NEUREL 2016 (2016):89-94,
https://doi.org/10.1109/NEUREL.2016.7800125 . .
10
2
9

Complex Dynamics of Spring-Block Earthquake Model Under Periodic Parameter Perturbations

Kostić, Srdan; Vasović, Nebojša; Franović, Igor; Todorović, Kristina

(Asme, New York, 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Kostić, Srdan
AU  - Vasović, Nebojša
AU  - Franović, Igor
AU  - Todorović, Kristina
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://farfar.pharmacy.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2193
AB  - A simple model of earthquake nucleation that may account for the onset of chaotic dynamics is proposed and analyzed. It represents a generalization of the Burridge-Knopoff single-block model with Dieterich-Ruina's rate-and state-dependent friction law. It is demonstrated that deterministic chaos may emerge when some of the parameters are assumed to undergo small oscillations about their equilibrium values. Implementing the standard numerical methods from the theory of dynamical systems, the analysis is carried out for the cases having one or two periodically variable parameters, such that the appropriate bifurcation diagrams, phase portraits, power spectra, and the Lyapunov exponents are obtained. The results of analysis indicate two different scenarios to chaos. On one side, the Ruelle-Takens-Newhouse route to chaos is observed for the cases of limit amplitude perturbations. On the other side, when the angular frequency is assumed constant for the value near the periodic motion of the block in an unperturbed case, variation of oscillation amplitudes probably gives rise to global bifurcations, with immediate occurrence of chaotic behavior. Further analysis shows that chaotic behavior emerges only for small oscillation frequencies and higher perturbation amplitudes when two perturbed parameters are brought into play. If higher oscillation frequencies are assumed, no bifurcation occurs, and the system under study exhibits only the periodic motion. In contrast to the previous research, the onset of chaos is observed for much smaller values of the stress ratio parameter. In other words, even the relatively small perturbations of the control parameters could lead to deterministic chaos and, thus, to instabilities and earthquakes.
PB  - Asme, New York
T2  - Journal of Computational and Nonlinear Dynamics
T1  - Complex Dynamics of Spring-Block Earthquake Model Under Periodic Parameter Perturbations
VL  - 9
IS  - 3
DO  - 10.1115/1.4026259
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Kostić, Srdan and Vasović, Nebojša and Franović, Igor and Todorović, Kristina",
year = "2014",
abstract = "A simple model of earthquake nucleation that may account for the onset of chaotic dynamics is proposed and analyzed. It represents a generalization of the Burridge-Knopoff single-block model with Dieterich-Ruina's rate-and state-dependent friction law. It is demonstrated that deterministic chaos may emerge when some of the parameters are assumed to undergo small oscillations about their equilibrium values. Implementing the standard numerical methods from the theory of dynamical systems, the analysis is carried out for the cases having one or two periodically variable parameters, such that the appropriate bifurcation diagrams, phase portraits, power spectra, and the Lyapunov exponents are obtained. The results of analysis indicate two different scenarios to chaos. On one side, the Ruelle-Takens-Newhouse route to chaos is observed for the cases of limit amplitude perturbations. On the other side, when the angular frequency is assumed constant for the value near the periodic motion of the block in an unperturbed case, variation of oscillation amplitudes probably gives rise to global bifurcations, with immediate occurrence of chaotic behavior. Further analysis shows that chaotic behavior emerges only for small oscillation frequencies and higher perturbation amplitudes when two perturbed parameters are brought into play. If higher oscillation frequencies are assumed, no bifurcation occurs, and the system under study exhibits only the periodic motion. In contrast to the previous research, the onset of chaos is observed for much smaller values of the stress ratio parameter. In other words, even the relatively small perturbations of the control parameters could lead to deterministic chaos and, thus, to instabilities and earthquakes.",
publisher = "Asme, New York",
journal = "Journal of Computational and Nonlinear Dynamics",
title = "Complex Dynamics of Spring-Block Earthquake Model Under Periodic Parameter Perturbations",
volume = "9",
number = "3",
doi = "10.1115/1.4026259"
}
Kostić, S., Vasović, N., Franović, I.,& Todorović, K.. (2014). Complex Dynamics of Spring-Block Earthquake Model Under Periodic Parameter Perturbations. in Journal of Computational and Nonlinear Dynamics
Asme, New York., 9(3).
https://doi.org/10.1115/1.4026259
Kostić S, Vasović N, Franović I, Todorović K. Complex Dynamics of Spring-Block Earthquake Model Under Periodic Parameter Perturbations. in Journal of Computational and Nonlinear Dynamics. 2014;9(3).
doi:10.1115/1.4026259 .
Kostić, Srdan, Vasović, Nebojša, Franović, Igor, Todorović, Kristina, "Complex Dynamics of Spring-Block Earthquake Model Under Periodic Parameter Perturbations" in Journal of Computational and Nonlinear Dynamics, 9, no. 3 (2014),
https://doi.org/10.1115/1.4026259 . .
5
1
5

Dynamics of landslide model with time delay and periodic parameter perturbations

Kostić, Srdan; Vasović, Nebojša; Franović, Igor; Jevremović, Dragutin; Mitrinović, David; Todorović, Kristina

(Elsevier Science BV, Amsterdam, 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Kostić, Srdan
AU  - Vasović, Nebojša
AU  - Franović, Igor
AU  - Jevremović, Dragutin
AU  - Mitrinović, David
AU  - Todorović, Kristina
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://farfar.pharmacy.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2155
AB  - In present paper, we analyze the dynamics of a single-block model on an inclined slope with Dieterich-Ruina friction law under the variation of two new introduced parameters: time delay T-d and initial shear stress mu. It is assumed that this phenomenological model qualitatively simulates the motion along the infinite creeping slope. The introduction of time delay is proposed to mimic the memory effect of the sliding surface and it is generally considered as a function of history of sliding. On the other hand, periodic perturbation of initial shear stress emulates external triggering effect of long-distant earthquakes or some non-natural vibration source. The effects of variation of a single observed parameter, T-d or mu, as well as their co-action, are estimated for three different sliding regimes: beta  lt  1, beta = 1 and beta > 1, where beta stands for the ratio of long-term to short-term stress changes. The results of standard local bifurcation analysis indicate the onset of complex dynamics for very low values of time delay. On the other side, numerical approach confirms an additional complexity that was not observed by local analysis, due to the possible effect of global bifurcations. The most complex dynamics is detected for beta  lt  1, with a complete Ruelle-Takens-Newhouse route to chaos under the variation of T-d, or the co-action of both parameters T-d and mu. These results correspond well with the previous experimental observations on clay and siltstone with low clay fraction. In the same regime, the perturbation of only a single parameter, mu, renders the oscillatory motion of the block. Within the velocity-independent regime, beta = 1, the inclusion and variation of T-d generates a transition to equilibrium state, whereas the small oscillations of mu induce oscillatory motion with decreasing amplitude. The co-action of both parameters, in the same regime, causes the decrease of block's velocity. As for beta > 1, highly-frequent, limit-amplitude oscillations of initial stress give rise to oscillatory motion. Also for beta > 1, in case of perturbing only the initial shear stress, with smaller amplitude, velocity of the block changes exponentially fast. If the time delay is introduced, besides the stress perturbation, within the same regime, the co-action of T-d (T-d  lt  0.1) and small oscillations of mu induce the onset of deterministic chaos.
PB  - Elsevier Science BV, Amsterdam
T2  - Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation
T1  - Dynamics of landslide model with time delay and periodic parameter perturbations
VL  - 19
IS  - 9
SP  - 3346
EP  - 3361
DO  - 10.1016/j.cnsns.2014.02.012
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Kostić, Srdan and Vasović, Nebojša and Franović, Igor and Jevremović, Dragutin and Mitrinović, David and Todorović, Kristina",
year = "2014",
abstract = "In present paper, we analyze the dynamics of a single-block model on an inclined slope with Dieterich-Ruina friction law under the variation of two new introduced parameters: time delay T-d and initial shear stress mu. It is assumed that this phenomenological model qualitatively simulates the motion along the infinite creeping slope. The introduction of time delay is proposed to mimic the memory effect of the sliding surface and it is generally considered as a function of history of sliding. On the other hand, periodic perturbation of initial shear stress emulates external triggering effect of long-distant earthquakes or some non-natural vibration source. The effects of variation of a single observed parameter, T-d or mu, as well as their co-action, are estimated for three different sliding regimes: beta  lt  1, beta = 1 and beta > 1, where beta stands for the ratio of long-term to short-term stress changes. The results of standard local bifurcation analysis indicate the onset of complex dynamics for very low values of time delay. On the other side, numerical approach confirms an additional complexity that was not observed by local analysis, due to the possible effect of global bifurcations. The most complex dynamics is detected for beta  lt  1, with a complete Ruelle-Takens-Newhouse route to chaos under the variation of T-d, or the co-action of both parameters T-d and mu. These results correspond well with the previous experimental observations on clay and siltstone with low clay fraction. In the same regime, the perturbation of only a single parameter, mu, renders the oscillatory motion of the block. Within the velocity-independent regime, beta = 1, the inclusion and variation of T-d generates a transition to equilibrium state, whereas the small oscillations of mu induce oscillatory motion with decreasing amplitude. The co-action of both parameters, in the same regime, causes the decrease of block's velocity. As for beta > 1, highly-frequent, limit-amplitude oscillations of initial stress give rise to oscillatory motion. Also for beta > 1, in case of perturbing only the initial shear stress, with smaller amplitude, velocity of the block changes exponentially fast. If the time delay is introduced, besides the stress perturbation, within the same regime, the co-action of T-d (T-d  lt  0.1) and small oscillations of mu induce the onset of deterministic chaos.",
publisher = "Elsevier Science BV, Amsterdam",
journal = "Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation",
title = "Dynamics of landslide model with time delay and periodic parameter perturbations",
volume = "19",
number = "9",
pages = "3346-3361",
doi = "10.1016/j.cnsns.2014.02.012"
}
Kostić, S., Vasović, N., Franović, I., Jevremović, D., Mitrinović, D.,& Todorović, K.. (2014). Dynamics of landslide model with time delay and periodic parameter perturbations. in Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation
Elsevier Science BV, Amsterdam., 19(9), 3346-3361.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cnsns.2014.02.012
Kostić S, Vasović N, Franović I, Jevremović D, Mitrinović D, Todorović K. Dynamics of landslide model with time delay and periodic parameter perturbations. in Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation. 2014;19(9):3346-3361.
doi:10.1016/j.cnsns.2014.02.012 .
Kostić, Srdan, Vasović, Nebojša, Franović, Igor, Jevremović, Dragutin, Mitrinović, David, Todorović, Kristina, "Dynamics of landslide model with time delay and periodic parameter perturbations" in Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation, 19, no. 9 (2014):3346-3361,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cnsns.2014.02.012 . .
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Friction memory effect in complex dynamics of earthquake model

Kostić, Srdan; Franović, Igor; Todorović, Kristina; Vasović, Nebojša

(Springer, Dordrecht, 2013)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Kostić, Srdan
AU  - Franović, Igor
AU  - Todorović, Kristina
AU  - Vasović, Nebojša
PY  - 2013
UR  - https://farfar.pharmacy.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1972
AB  - In present paper, an effect of delayed frictional healing on complex dynamics of simple model of earthquake nucleation is analyzed, following the commonly accepted assumption that frictional healing represents the main mechanism for fault restrengthening. The studied model represents a generalization of Burridge-Knopoff single-block model with Dieterich-Ruina's rate and state dependent friction law. The time-dependent character of the frictional healing process is modeled by introducing time delay tau in the friction term. Standard local bifurcation analysis of the obtained delay-differential equations demonstrates that the observed model exhibits Ruelle-Takens-Newhouse route to chaos. Domain in parameters space where the solutions are stable for all values of time delay is determined by applying the Rouch, theorem. The obtained results are corroborated by Fourier power spectra and largest Lyapunov exponents techniques. In contrast to previous research, the performed analysis reveals that even the small perturbations of the control parameters could lead to deterministic chaos, and, thus, to instabilities and earthquakes. The obtained results further imply the necessity of taking into account this delayed character of frictional healing, which renders complex behavior of the model, already captured in the case of more than one block.
PB  - Springer, Dordrecht
T2  - Nonlinear Dynamics
T1  - Friction memory effect in complex dynamics of earthquake model
VL  - 73
IS  - 3
SP  - 1933
EP  - 1943
DO  - 10.1007/s11071-013-0914-8
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Kostić, Srdan and Franović, Igor and Todorović, Kristina and Vasović, Nebojša",
year = "2013",
abstract = "In present paper, an effect of delayed frictional healing on complex dynamics of simple model of earthquake nucleation is analyzed, following the commonly accepted assumption that frictional healing represents the main mechanism for fault restrengthening. The studied model represents a generalization of Burridge-Knopoff single-block model with Dieterich-Ruina's rate and state dependent friction law. The time-dependent character of the frictional healing process is modeled by introducing time delay tau in the friction term. Standard local bifurcation analysis of the obtained delay-differential equations demonstrates that the observed model exhibits Ruelle-Takens-Newhouse route to chaos. Domain in parameters space where the solutions are stable for all values of time delay is determined by applying the Rouch, theorem. The obtained results are corroborated by Fourier power spectra and largest Lyapunov exponents techniques. In contrast to previous research, the performed analysis reveals that even the small perturbations of the control parameters could lead to deterministic chaos, and, thus, to instabilities and earthquakes. The obtained results further imply the necessity of taking into account this delayed character of frictional healing, which renders complex behavior of the model, already captured in the case of more than one block.",
publisher = "Springer, Dordrecht",
journal = "Nonlinear Dynamics",
title = "Friction memory effect in complex dynamics of earthquake model",
volume = "73",
number = "3",
pages = "1933-1943",
doi = "10.1007/s11071-013-0914-8"
}
Kostić, S., Franović, I., Todorović, K.,& Vasović, N.. (2013). Friction memory effect in complex dynamics of earthquake model. in Nonlinear Dynamics
Springer, Dordrecht., 73(3), 1933-1943.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11071-013-0914-8
Kostić S, Franović I, Todorović K, Vasović N. Friction memory effect in complex dynamics of earthquake model. in Nonlinear Dynamics. 2013;73(3):1933-1943.
doi:10.1007/s11071-013-0914-8 .
Kostić, Srdan, Franović, Igor, Todorović, Kristina, Vasović, Nebojša, "Friction memory effect in complex dynamics of earthquake model" in Nonlinear Dynamics, 73, no. 3 (2013):1933-1943,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11071-013-0914-8 . .
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